KY and Oregon Primary

From Kos

Oregon: Pollster.com composite: 54.1O, 41.6C
PsiFighter37: 59.7O, 40.3C
Poblano: 56.6O, 43.4C
Al Giordano: 57.6O, 42.4O
Jerome: 54O, 46C
Election Inspection: 55.4O, 44.6C


Kentucky: Pollster.com composite: 63.2C, 28O
PsiFighter37: 67.2C, 32.8O
Poblano: 55.9C, 37.0O, 7E
Al Giordano: 63.6C, 31.3O, 5.1E
Jerome: 62C, 32O, 5E
Election Inspection: 62C, 31O, 7E

The crazy wonks at fivethirtyeight.com think there is a chance for Edwards to pick up a delegate tonight. Kentucky sets delegates by congressional district margins, the not statewide vote. Obama is not going to do well in the KY-5. maybe less than 15% of the vote. Edwards in still on the ballet in the state and KY-5 is the poorest congressional district in the country. If Edwards does well, he could pick up another delegate.