Thursday, May 15, 2008

Democrat Delegate Math: 5/15 @ 10:45 a.m.

Remaining Delegates
Super: 233

Pledge: 189
KY - 51
OR - 52
PR - 55
MT - 16
SD - 15

Total: 422

Delegates Needed to reach 2026
Obama: 139.5
Clinton: 302.5

Percentages of Delegates Needed
Obama needs either
59.87% of remaining Super Delegates
73.8% of remaining Pledge Delegates
33% of all Remaining Delegates

Clinton needs either
129.82% of all remaining Super Delegates
160% of all remaining Pledge Delegates
71.68% of all remaining Delegates

Just for fun here is some more Clinton Math:

If Clinton receives 100% of the remaining Pledge Delegates she needs 48.71% of the remaining Super Delegates.
If Clinton receives 100% of the remaining Super Delegates she needs 36.77% of the remaining Pledge Delegates

Disclaimer: These totals do not include Florida and Michigan because fuck Florida and Michigan.

edit: Here is the updated delegate count after today's announcements.

9 comments:

Mike Lewis said...

hey, did you know that Hillary Clinton was delusional ?

_J_ said...

I had no idea!

Mike Lewis said...

two more major super delegate signed on with Obama today: Rep. Henry Waxman and Rep. Howard Berman.

_J_ said...

Rep. Henry Waxman?!

na na na na na na na na
na na na na na na na na

WAXMAN!

na na na na na na na na
na na na na na na na na

WAXMAN!

Waxman!
Waxman!
WAXMAN!

na na na na na na na na na na na na na

WAXMAN!

_J_ said...

According to First Read as of 2:42 p.m. four more super delegates went to Obama. These include the 2 Mikey posted.

That obviously changes the numbers on the post...but I don't want to go through the math again for 4 delegates.

_J_ said...

Also, different blogs/sites are reporting different numbers of Edwards' Delegates hopping over to Obama.

So, more change. Woo Obama.

Mike Lewis said...

CNN says that Edwards had 11 pledged delegates. Last night Chuck Todd (CHUCK TODD) said that they were under know obligation to vote for Obama, but since they are Edwards supporters that they would most likely follow his lead.

_J_ said...

Presumably reporters called the Delegates and the delegates said whether or not they were voting for Obama now.

I just haven't found any sites which say "Delegate X was called at Y and said they were voting for Obama". So right now, as far as I can tell, it's just people saying shit.

Mike Lewis said...

someone did. link in the edit.